A busy day today so not a lot of option for blogging so decided to throw up a quick one just to clear my mind for the day.
I didn’t stay up overnight to watch the election results come in. I have to admit to being slightly surprised at the result – mostly because it was nigh on impossible to get a truly accurate picture of what was happening in the minds and the hands of the people that matter i.e. the voters.
Some quick thoughts spring to mind
I see the Hillary didn’t show up to her victory rally, where her supporters had gathered. From what little I’ve seen of it, I understand she was too upset. I don’t know if there’s precedent for this but at the same time I think it was a poor reaction for someone who claimed the credentials to act as the leader of the free world. A leader is supposed to lead their followers in both good times and bad and she seems to have failed that test.
That said, I’m not really surprised.
Having peered behind the veil put up by the mainstream media, there has been a narrative of Hillary being all about Hillary and a constant sense of entitlement in which it was simply her turn to be President. The other narrative is her comfort in switching principles, viewpoints and narratives in order to advance her path to the Oval Office. In other words things are disposable when they’ve outlived their usefulness to her. One wonders if she felt the same about her supporters.
The other week a videocame out in which Michael Moore described the idea of a Trump victory as being the biggest “F*%K You” out there.
I’m just wondering if the no show by Hillary was another one.
I have a theory
As the champagne went flat at Hillary’s Victory Party I noticed a comment from West Wing actor Richard Schiff:
“Richard Schiff, who played Toby on “The West Wing,” had a tough time stringing his thoughts together.
“I don’t know how polling can be this wrong,” he said. “I don’t understand it. ..“”
I have my own thoughts on this that can explain how the polling can be that wrong. I think there are two things you can do with a poll. 1) You can take an accurate poll, with a representative balance, neutral questions etc. You can then use the result to get a clear picture on your campaign and adjust your direction accordingly. 2) You can decide you’re just trying to win over undecideds and skew the poll so that it could ever produce the idea your candidate is the popular choice amongst voter. The aim being to harness the concept of social proofing so the undecideds think the smart money is on your candidate and fall into line.
The problem is you can’t do both and if you go with option two, you can’t look at it as an accurate poll. There has been much evidence that option two has been called on repeatedly in an effort to build a narrative around Clinton, especially in the press.
I think Mr Schiff should start reassuring himself he probably wasn’t looking at a true guage of the US electorate. Hopefully then his thoughts will start stringing together.
Stuffing the suitcases
Now that the victory has gone to Trump I’m just wondering what today looks like at FBI and DOJ HQ.
I’m guessing there are a few in a cold sweat about the implications of a Trump victory in the context of the actions leading up to it.
It wouldn’t surprise me if there is furtive arse covering activity today. I suspect elsewhere, suitcases are hurriedly being stuffed and devices being smashed.
I think this one might play out quite interestingly in the coming months.
Finally I have no idea what sort of a President DJT will become. I don’t know how America and the world will look under his time in office. I still wonder if this election was an impossible decision to get right. Part if me wonders if DJTs campaign approach and demeanour was a deliberate effort to get in the democrat party’s face and play them at their own game and that we he will change tack to become a serious President. Only time will tell.
In the meantime – I wish us all Godspeed.